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  • Orders for long-lasting manufactured goods fell by the most in 4 years in January, a sign the economy lost momentum at the start of the year. 
  • Consumer confidence fell in February after 3 straight monthly increases due to concerns about the labor market and the presidential election.
  • The Fed's favored inflation gauge, the PCE index, showed prices picked up in January, though it was the smallest annual increase in almost 3 years.

Housing News

  • New home sales ticked up in January. Single-family home sales rose 1.5% from December and 1.8% year over year. 
  • Pending home sales posted their biggest drop in 5 months in January. The NAR blames the weakness on rising mortgage rates.
  • Higher rates also contributed to lower mortgage application volume last week. Purchase apps fell 5%, and total apps were down 5.6%.

 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • New unemployment claims fell unexpectedly last week, suggesting that job growth likely remained solid in February. 
  • Minutes from their last meeting showed Fed members were more worried about the risk of cutting rates too soon than keeping them high too long.
  • After 2 months of solid improvements, consumer sentiment hit a lull in February. Sentiment still ticked up slightly.

Housing News

  • Single-family production improved slightly in January, though a decline in multifamily construction pushed overall housing starts down. 
  • Existing home sales rose 3% to start the year. The inventory of homes for sale in January increased but is still at a low 3-month supply.
  • Mortgage rates jumped last week, pushing applications lower. Purchase apps fell 10% for the week and were 13% lower than a year ago.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Shelter prices contributed to higher-than-expected inflation for January, lowering the odds that the Fed will cut rates soon. 
  • Fed members continued spreading the message that they are hesitant to start cutting rates yet and want to see more data first.
  • Consumer spending fell more than expected in January, after making gains in December. Retail sales dropped 0.8%, more than the expected 0.3%.

Housing News

  • As mortgage rates rose last week, total applications fell 2.3%. Purchase apps dropped 3% for the week and 12% year over year. 
  • In a recent survey, Gen Z and Millennials named YouTube as their top social media platform to search for homebuying info.
  • Fewer home sellers are taking price cuts in 2024 than last year despite increasing competition. Both new and active listings are up year over year.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Job growth posted a surprisingly strong increase in January, showing the labor market is solid and poised to support broader economic growth. 
  • Fed officials continue to state that policymakers have time to be patient about the timing of Fed policy rate cuts, pressuring mortgage rates.
  • Jobless claims dropped for the 1st time in 3 weeks, suggesting employers are still largely holding onto workers.

Housing News

  • REALTOR® (NAR) membership fell in January for the 3rd consecutive month, though there are still over 1.5 million members. 
  • According to Fannie Mae, consumer sentiment toward housing reached its highest level in nearly 2 years, despite concerns about affordability.
  • Purchase mortgage apps dropped 1% last week and were 19% lower than a year ago. Homebuyer demand flattened with rising mortgage rates.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Consumer confidence reached its highest level since December 2021 and was up more than 30% since its April 2020 low. 
  • Job openings rose to a 3-month high in December. The continuing demand for workers demonstrates labor market strength.
  • The Fed left policy rates unchanged at this week's FOMC meeting but signaled a willingness to cut rates as data confirms inflation is cooling.

Housing News

  • A Harvard study showed rent costs have fallen from prior record highs and are now rising at a significantly slower pace of less than 1% annually. 
  • The FHFA’s House Price Index reports growth in November at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.3% for the month and 6.6% year over year.
  • After rising for several weeks, total mortgage application volume dropped 7.2% for the week. Purchase apps fell 11%, while refi apps increased 2%.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


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