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  • The government shutdown drags on, stalling key economic reports and leaving the Fed and markets short on fresh data.
  • Markets still expect the Fed to cut its policy rate at next week's meeting, and investors anticipate a 3rd cut for the year in December.
  • Consumers expect to spend $890 per person on the holidays this year, down from $902 in 2024, per a National Retail Federation survey.

Housing News

  • Falling mortgage rates persuaded buyers to take action in September. Existing home sales rose 1.5% to reach a 7-month high.
  • The median existing home price last month grew 2.1% year over year to $415,200. Inventory rose to 4.6 months, up from 4.2 months a year ago.
  • Purchase apps fell 0.3% for the week but were 20% higher than the same time last year. Refi apps grew by 4% for the week and 81% year over year.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • After a few months of calm, tensions between the U.S. and China reignited in recent weeks, sparking new concerns over trade and tariffs.
  • The government shutdown is in its 3rd week with no end in sight, limiting key data on the labor market and economy.
  • Fed Chair Powell said quantitative tightening might wrap up soon, potentially limiting the supply of mortgage bonds and driving down rates.

Housing News

 

  • According to ICE, the average credit score for purchasers locking their rates was 736 in September, the highest in 6 years of tracking.
  • Purchase apps fell for the 3rd straight week but remain 20% above last year as rising inventory keeps some buyers engaged.
  • In a Realtor.com survey, 82% of Gen Z respondents believed homebuying is harder for their generation. Affordability was the top life concern for 18%.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • Minutes from last month's Fed meeting showed officials largely agreed a recent slowdown in the labor market outweighed inflation concerns.
  • The government shutdown continues this week, delaying key economic reports and making private-sector data even more important to markets.
  • Gold hit a new high and surged past $4,000/oz as investors fled risk, seeking safety amid market volatility and Fed policy rate cut speculation.

Housing News

  • Purchase mortgage applications fell 1% for the week but were still 14% higher than the same week a year ago.
  • Adjustable-rate mortgages have increased slightly in popularity. ARMs made up 9.5% of applications last week, up from 8.4% the previous week.
  • AI-enhanced listing photos allow agents to "virtually stage" homes at a fraction of the normal cost but are raising transparency concerns.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • According to ADP, private payrolls saw their biggest decline in 2 1/2 years during September, a sign of labor market weakening.
  • Despite essential services staying open, the government shutdown means key reports won’t be released, including Friday’s jobs report.
  • Markets are already betting the shutdown will contribute to weakening the economy. There's increasing speculation of further Fed rate cuts.

Housing News

  • Pending sales of existing homes increased solidly in August to the highest level in 5 months, helped along by lower mortgage rates.
  • Data suggests home price growth is cooling nationwide. Appreciation is decelerating amid affordability pressure.
  • Real estate transactions that rely on government services, such as tax record confirmation, may be delayed while the government is closed.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • Initial jobless claims dropped last week to the lowest level since mid-July, signaling that most companies are hesitant to lay off current staff.
  • The U.S. economy grew at its fastest pace in nearly 2 years last quarter after consumer spending was revised higher.
  • Businesses say tariffs are driving up input costs, but weak demand keeps them from raising prices, squeezing margins across sectors.

Housing News

  • New-home sales jumped in August to a 3 1/2-year high, helped by lower mortgage rates and strong builder incentives.
  • Existing home sales were flat in August. Homes took longer to sell, averaging 31 days on market, and supply slipped 1.3% from July.
  • NAR reports that the median home sales price hit $422,600 in August, up 2% from a year ago. It was the 26th consecutive month of gains.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


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