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  • According to ADP, private payrolls saw their biggest decline in 2 1/2 years during September, a sign of labor market weakening.
  • Despite essential services staying open, the government shutdown means key reports won’t be released, including Friday’s jobs report.
  • Markets are already betting the shutdown will contribute to weakening the economy. There's increasing speculation of further Fed rate cuts.

Housing News

  • Pending sales of existing homes increased solidly in August to the highest level in 5 months, helped along by lower mortgage rates.
  • Data suggests home price growth is cooling nationwide. Appreciation is decelerating amid affordability pressure.
  • Real estate transactions that rely on government services, such as tax record confirmation, may be delayed while the government is closed.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • Initial jobless claims dropped last week to the lowest level since mid-July, signaling that most companies are hesitant to lay off current staff.
  • The U.S. economy grew at its fastest pace in nearly 2 years last quarter after consumer spending was revised higher.
  • Businesses say tariffs are driving up input costs, but weak demand keeps them from raising prices, squeezing margins across sectors.

Housing News

  • New-home sales jumped in August to a 3 1/2-year high, helped by lower mortgage rates and strong builder incentives.
  • Existing home sales were flat in August. Homes took longer to sell, averaging 31 days on market, and supply slipped 1.3% from July.
  • NAR reports that the median home sales price hit $422,600 in August, up 2% from a year ago. It was the 26th consecutive month of gains.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • The Fed cut its policy rate by a quarter point this week. Forecasts from Fed members indicate 2 more cuts could be coming this year.
  • However, Fed Chair Powell noted the Fed's job could get more difficult as members balance the tension between rising inflation and a worsening job market.
  • After an unusually large jump the previous week, initial jobless claims dropped last week by the most in nearly 4 years, falling by 33K.

Housing News

  • Builder confidence in the housing market remained unchanged in September, despite higher expectations of future sales in coming months.
  • Single family housing starts plunged to a near 2 1/2-year low in August amid a glut of unsold new homes. Permits dropped 2.2%.
  • As mortgage rates fell ahead of the Fed meeting, purchase mortgage applications rose by 3% for the week. Refi apps jumped 58%.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Consumer inflation rose in August to 2.9% year-over-year, the fastest pace of inflation since January. Tariffs are seen as the primary driver.
  • After jumping in July, wholesale inflation decelerated in August and was weaker than expected. The slowdown supports possible Fed rate cuts.
  • Jobless claims last week reached their highest level in 4 years, signaling layoff activity may be on the rise amid a sharp slowdown in hiring.

Housing News

  • Lower rates helped move some potential homebuyers off the fence. Purchase apps rose 7% for the week and were 23% higher than a year ago.
  • ICE's September Mortgage Monitor shows buying a home takes 31.1% of a buyer’s median income, down from October 2023's recent peak of 35.2%.
  • FNMA reports consumers grew less confident about housing in August, due to job worries, tougher selling conditions, and concern over future prices.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • The Fed's Beige Book shows economic activity and hiring mostly flat in recent weeks, with tariffs weighing on businesses and consumers.
  • Job openings dropped sharply to 7.18 million in July, the second lowest since the pandemic. Slower hiring signals labor market weakness.
  • Factory orders slid in July, hit hard by plunging aircraft bookings. However, non-transportation orders rose more than expected.

Housing News

  • Spending on new single‑family housing edged up in July. Overall construction continues to wane due to rates and rising inventories.
  • Homebuyers are backing out of deals more often, and purchase deals are now falling through at rates not seen in years, signaling growing caution.
  • Purchase mortgage apps fell 6% from a week ago but were up 17 percent year over year. Refi apps rose 1% for the week and 20% over last year.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


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