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  • Oil prices jumped this week as the Middle East conflict raised concerns about shipping and supply restraints in the global oil market.
  • Rising oil prices renewed inflation fears and reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing rates higher. 
  • Current labor data, including unemployment claims and the ADP private payroll report, gave conflicting views of labor market strength.

Housing News

  • Rates briefly hit 4-year lows last week, moving purchasers off the fence. Purchase apps rose 6.1% for the week and 10% year over year.
  • Homebuyer preferences are shifting from open layouts toward more traditional designs with better privacy and energy efficiency, per the NAR.
  • HousingWire reports property taxes and homeowners insurance account for an average of 21% of monthly payments, impacting affordability.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


 

  • The labor market continues to show resilience. Jobless claims came in lower than expected last week, indicating layoffs remain relatively low.
  • Consumer confidence was better than expected in February, though the share of consumers viewing jobs as "hard to get" reached a 5-year high. 
  • The prospect of being replaced by AI is leading higher income workers to stay in their jobs longer, reports CNBC.

Housing News

  • ICE reports home prices grew 0.5% in January, a slight slowdown from 2025’s annual increase of 0.6%.
  • Despite headlines of rates hitting a 4-year low, total mortgage application volume was basically flat, rising just 0.4% for the week.
  • President Trump highlighted taxes, inflation, and trade in his State of the Union address, making only a passing reference to housing.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Last week's initial jobless claims saw the biggest drop since November, coming in at 206K and pointing to labor market stabilization.
  • Fed meeting minutes showed many officials were worried more about inflation than the labor market, making a cut in March unlikely. 
  • The U.S. trade deficit widened to $70.3 billion in December, marking one of the largest annual gaps on record.

 

Housing News

 

  • Pending home sales continued to slide in January. Improving affordability was not enough to overcome winter weather and economic concerns.
  • Single family housing starts rebounded in December with a 4.1% increase, though permits for future construction slipped lower.
  • Builder confidence fell for the second straight month in February, as builders worried about high price-to-income ratios and rising costs.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • The Commerce Department reported a stall in retail sales growth for December, after a 0.6% increase in November.
  • The BLS January jobs report showed a resilient labor market, with stronger-than-expected job creation and an unemployment rate of 4.3%. 
  • However, revisions to past data showed 1.5 million jobs created in 2024, rather than the 2 million reported, and only 181,000 added in 2025.

Housing News

  • Purchase mortgage applications were 4% higher year over year, though down 2% for the week.
  • HousingWire reports senior housing demand is rising faster than new supply. Construction is at its lowest level in more than a decade.
  • NAR attributes an 8.4% month-over-month drop in January’s existing home sales to winter weather and reduced inventory.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Both new and continuing jobless claims were higher than expected last week, possibly due to the severe winter weather.
  • Last month, companies announced the largest number of job cuts for any January since 2009, according to the Challenger jobs report.
  • The partial government shutdown lasted only a couple of days, but it pushed labor and inflation reports to next week.

Housing News

  • ICE Mortgage Technology reports over 30% of homeowners have a mortgage rate above 5%, with about 20% having rates over 6%.
  • Harsh winter storms hit much of the country, keeping potential buyers home and leading to a 9% drop in total mortgage application volume.
  • Apartment rents fell in January to the lowest level in 4 years. The national median rent was $1,353, a drop of 1.4% from last year.

 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


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