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  • Consumer inflation came in slightly higher than expected, led by housing costs. However, the pace of core inflation slowed a little. 
  • Jobless claims dropped to 202K last week, coming in less than expected at the lowest level since October.
  • Markets continue to price in the likelihood of a March Fed rate cut, despite Fed officials’ signals they will hold rates longer.

Housing News

  • A recent Fannie Mae survey showed more consumers think it is a good time to buy a home. More also expect rates to fall in 2024. 
  • Altos Research reports there are currently 499K unsold single-family homes on the market, 6% more than this time last year.
  • Mortgage apps increased 9.9% for the week on a seasonally adjusted basis, with refi apps up 19% and purchase apps 6% higher.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Minutes from the Fed's last meeting suggest the policy rate could remain higher "for some time" until inflation moves lower. 
  • Demand for workers fell to its lowest level in more than 2½ years in November, while hiring and layoffs both slowed.
  • Manufacturing contracted in December. The pace of decline slowed amid a modest rebound in production and improvement in factory employment.

Housing News

  • As mortgage rates fell to end the year, refi apps were 15% higher than the same week a year ago. Purchase apps were down 12% year over year. 
  • Homeowners insurance premiums are up about 35% from 2 years ago, Policygenius says. Insurers continue to leave disaster-prone states.
  • Realtrends reports more than half of agents are optimistic about the 1st quarter housing market. Most expect sales to increase more than 5%.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • Investors are full of optimism for 2024 as the S&P 500 Index sits within striking distance of its first all-time high in nearly 2 years. 
  • Initial jobless claims rose 218K last week, more than estimated but still consistent with a resilient labor market.
  • Inflation around the globe is slowing faster than expected. Experts say levels could return to normal in 2024 for the first time in 3 years.

Housing News

  • The FHFA reported home prices rose 6.3% year over year in October, faster than September’s 5.5% annual rate. 
  • Pending home sales were unchanged for the month in November and 5.2% lower than the same time last year, according to NAR.
  • Fannie Mae forecasts a slow recovery for existing home sales next year after they hit a likely low point in October.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Weakening demand spurred a 3.6% decline in factory orders in October, more than expected and the biggest monthly drop in more than 3 years.
  • Job openings slid to 8.7 million in October, below estimates and the lowest level since March 2021, signaling a loosening labor market.
  • Oil prices plunged to a 6-month low due to booming crude supplies. The drop helped push bond yields lower, supporting lower mortgage rates.

Housing News

  • Falling mortgage rates reignited refinancing activity. Refi apps were up 14% for the week and 10% year over year. 
  • However, homebuyers are still battling high prices and low inventory. Purchase apps were down 0.3% for the week and 17% year over year.
  • Still, the housing market holds hope for 2024. Inventory is higher and more homes are under contract than at the end of 2022.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • The Fed's preferred gauge of inflation as measured by personal spending increased 3.5% year over year in October, meeting expectations.
  • Consumer confidence rose in November after 3 straight monthly declines, though two-thirds of consumers think a recession is likely in 2024.
  • The Fed released data showing economic activity slowed in recent weeks as consumers pulled back on discretionary spending.

Housing News

  • New home sales fell last month, coming in below analysts' expectations. The drop was likely due to mortgage rates’ reaching a 2023 high. 
  • Pending home sales also dropped in October, hitting a record low. Limited housing inventory added to the challenge of affordability.
  • However, mortgage rates have come down from October's highs. Purchase mortgage applications were up 5% for the week.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


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