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  • New unemployment applications hovered near pre-pandemic averages last week, but continuing claims surged to a 3-year high of 1.9 million.
  • The number of consumers making only the minimum credit card payment jumped to a 12-year high in 2024. Delinquencies also rose to new highs.
  • Global think tank The Conference Board projects the U.S. economy will expand at an upwardly revised 2.3% pace in 2025. 

Housing News

  • A Treasury Department study found home insurance costs rose 8.7% faster than inflation from 2018-22, driven by climate-related natural disasters.
  • Purchase mortgage applications rose 1% last week and were 7% higher year over year, despite mortgage rates above 7% for most buyers.
  • Federal agencies must report monthly on progress toward lowering the cost of housing and expanding supply, per a new executive order.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Wholesale and consumer inflation rose less than expected in December, supporting speculation of continuing Fed policy rate cuts this year.
  • December retail sales came in slightly lower than expected but showed the economy was still growing at a solid pace at year's end.
  • New jobless claims increased more than expected last week but remained at levels consistent with a healthy labor market. 

Housing News

  • In 2023, just 9% of homes built in the U.S. were under 1,400 square feet, considered a typical starter home, versus 40% in 1982.
  • Builder sentiment rose in January on hopes for more growth and less regulation. Concerns remain over tariffs, costs, and mortgage rates.
  • Mortgage demand last week was up 7% from a year ago despite higher rates. Inventory is up, but strong prices challenge affordability.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Minutes from the last Fed meeting showed members favored slowing rate cuts to balance inflation risks with those of economic overheating.
  • Job openings unexpectedly rose in November. Slower hiring points to a softening labor market but not one that needs Fed intervention.
  • Jobless claims fell to an 11-month low last week. Continuing claims rose slightly. The balance points to relative stability in the jobs market. 

Housing News

  • MBA and Fannie Mae expect mortgage rates to stay above 6% through 2025 due to a strong economy and possible rising inflation.
  • High mortgage rates and home prices drove 2024's median monthly housing payment to a record $2,775, up 11% year over year.
  • Purchase applications fell 7% for the week and were 15% lower than the same week a year ago, as higher rates weakened demand.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Weekly jobless claims fell unexpectedly last week, indicating low layoffs and a healthy labor market at the end of 2024.
  • Investors are optimistic about U.S. stock market performance in 2025, anticipating a 3rd consecutive year of growth.
  • The economy faces a potential labor supply shock due to reduced immigration, which could strain job growth and exacerbate inflation. 

Housing News

  • Pending home sales rose 2.2% in November, marking the 4th consecutive monthly increase and a return to the highest levels since early 2023.
  • The inventory shortage is finally easing. Housing inventory reached a 4-year high in November, with over half of listings unsold for 60+ days.
  • Insurance and property taxes are soaring and now comprise 32% of the average single-family mortgage payment, the highest rate ever recorded.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • The Fed cut policy interest rates by 0.25%. The Board signaled plans to slow rate cuts in 2025, leading to a significant jump in mortgage rates.
  • Retail sales increased more than expected in November, consistent with strong underlying momentum in the economy as the year winds down.
  • Revised final 3rd-quarter GDP figures show the economy grew 3.1%, more than the 2.8% initial estimate.

Housing News

  • November existing home sales posted the largest annual gain since 2021, helped by increased inventory. Activity remains subdued, however.
  • Single-family housing starts rebounded in November, increasing 6.4%. Single-family building permits rose 0.1%.
  • Builder sentiment remained steady at year's end, balancing high home prices and rates with hope for a better regulatory climate in 2025.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


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