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  • The Fed kept its policy rate unchanged at this week's meeting but signaled cuts could come as soon as its next meeting in September.
  • Consumer confidence picked up unexpectedly in July but stayed in the tight range of the past 2 years amid lingering inflation worries.
  • Job openings fell slightly in June, and rates of hiring and quits were both the lowest since 2020, all signs of a softening labor market. 

Housing News

  • Pending home sales rebounded in June. Increased supply and moderating mortgage rates helped get buyers off the sidelines.
  • NAHB says builders are cutting prices more often, with 31% reporting reductions in July compared to 29% in June and 25% in May.
  • Purchase applications fell 1.5% last week and were down 14% year-over-year. Refi apps fell 7% for the week and 32% from last year.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Economic growth accelerated by more than forecast in the 2nd quarter. The 2.8% initial reading doubled the 1st quarter's 1.4% growth rate.
  • Jobless claims remained above 220K for the 9th straight week. The 4-week continuing claims average rose to its highest level since December.
  • Markets continue to speculate the Fed will not cut its policy rate at next week's meeting but will start reducing rates in September. 

Housing News

  • Home prices continued their rise and set a new high in June. The median price of an existing home increased 4.1% to $426,900.
  • June's existing home sales were down, marking the slowest pace since December. Inventory jumped 23.4% from a year ago to a 4.1-month supply.
  • New home sales also fell last month, hitting a 7-month low. Pundits blame the ongoing challenges from higher mortgage rates and home prices.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Consumer inflation data in June saw core prices rise 0.1%, the smallest gain since August 2021, supporting Fed policy rate cuts later this year.
  • In his remarks to Congress, Fed Chair Powell acknowledged the labor market is showing signs of softening, also supporting Fed policy rate cuts.
  • Applications for unemployment dropped more than expected last week to the lowest level since late May but still came in at 222K for the week.

Housing News

  • Realtor.com reported 2 buyer-friendly shifts in June: continued rising inventory and 2 days longer on the market for median homes.
  • Single-family rents have risen by 39.6% since the pandemic began in March 2020 and are showing signs of increasing further.
  • The median gross income for Realtors with at least 16 years of experience rose from $80,700 in 2022 to $92,500 in 2023, according to the NAR.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • According to the Fed, the excess savings Americans stored away during the pandemic ran dry months ago, and the economy is feeling the effects.
  • Consumer confidence fell in June amid worries about the economy, though households remained upbeat about the labor market and inflation.
  • Total unemployment claims rose to the highest level since 2021, a warning sign unemployed workers need longer to find a job.

Housing News

  • According to the FHFA, house prices rose 0.2% for the month in April and were up 6.3% on the year.
  • New home sales, which make up about 10% of the market, fell to a 6-month low in May. It was the steepest monthly decline since Sept 2022.
  • Pending home sales unexpectedly fell to an all-time low in May, as elevated mortgage rates and rising home prices discouraged buyers.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • Retail sales rose 0.1% in May, coming in weaker than expected as consumers continued to wrestle with stubbornly high levels of inflation. 
  • New jobless claims fell from their 10-month high last week, but continuing claims rose for the 7th straight week.
  • Fed officials continue to signal that rate cuts aren't likely until more data supports trends toward cooler inflation and higher unemployment.

Housing News

  • New home construction slumped in May to its slowest pace in 4 years. Higher mortgage rates sapped the momentum gained earlier this year. 
  • Building permits fell in May to the weakest level since June 2020. Permits for single-family homes dropped for the 4th straight month.
  • Purchase mortgage apps were up 2% for the week, though down 12% from a year ago. Tight supply and higher rates have slowed home sales.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 

 


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