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  • The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE price index, rose 6.8% in June, the biggest annual move since 1982.
  • Manufacturing activity continued to cool in July. More factories dialed back production in the face of shrinking orders and rising inventories.
  • Despite signs of a slowing economy, the labor market remains in good shape. Last week's jobless claims came in at 260K, in line with estimates.

  • Construction spending tumbled in June. Outlays on single-family homebuilding declined sharply amid rising mortgage rates.
  • Total mortgage demand increased 1.2% last week as the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate made the largest weekly drop since 2020.
  • The median price of an existing home sold in June set yet another record at $416K, an increase of 13.4% year over year.


  • Inflation rose 9.1% in June, even more than the expected 8.8%. The increase seems to counter the narrative that inflation is peaking.
  • With inflation still increasing, there is talk that the Fed may raise policy rates a historic 1 percent at their July meeting.
  • The labor market remains strong despite recession concerns. Payrolls increased 372K in June, and wages rose 5.1% from a year ago.

  • Demand for mortgages declined for the 2nd week, led by a dip in purchase apps, which fell 4% from the previous week.
  • According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the average purchase loan amount fell to $415K last week, down from a $460K high in March.
  • NAR's 2022 Member Profile showed that despite competition and low inventory, members’ median income rose $11K to $54,300 last year.


  • Inflation rose 9.1% in June, even more than the expected 8.8%. The increase seems to counter the narrative that inflation is peaking.
  • With inflation still increasing, there is talk that the Fed may raise policy rates a historic 1 percent at their July meeting.
  • The labor market remains strong despite recession concerns. Payrolls increased 372K in June, and wages rose 5.1% from a year ago.

  • Demand for mortgages declined for the 2nd week, led by a dip in purchase apps, which fell 4% from the previous week.
  • According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the average purchase loan amount fell to $415K last week, down from a $460K high in March.
  • NAR's 2022 Member Profile showed that despite competition and low inventory, members’ median income rose $11K to $54,300 last year.


  • Minutes from the Fed's June meeting showed it remains committed to bringing down inflation and will raise rates at the July meeting.
  • Jobless claims rose unexpectedly last week amid growing signs that demand for labor is cooling. Layoffs surged to a 16-month high in June.
  • It's a big week for jobs data, but investors will be missing the important ADP data report, as ADP is revamping it this summer.

  • The average cost for materials to build a single-family home jumped 42% from 2018 to 2021, adding thousands to the price of a new home.
  • A Zillow study found that a black front door is associated with higher offer prices, while pale pink could negatively impact value.
  • High prices driven by over-bidding and low inventory are being tempered as some sellers are now rolling back asking prices.

 


  • The Fed's preferred inflation gauge rose 4.7% in May from a year ago, slightly less than expected but still stubbornly high.
  • Factory orders for durable goods rose more than expected in May, suggesting business investment remains firm despite economic concerns.
  • Fed Chair Powell insisted this week that the Fed is not deliberately trying to cause a recession and that the economy is on solid footing.

  • Despite gloomy headlines and higher mortgage rates, new home sales unexpectedly rose in May and reversed a 4-month slide.
  • Year-over-year home prices rose 20.4% in April, slightly less than March and the first deceleration since November.
  • Pending home sales rose slightly in May, up 0.7% compared with April. That broke a six-month streak of declining demand.

 


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