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  • Unemployment claims fell to the lowest level in 3 weeks, showing renewed labor force momentum and a healthy demand for workers.
  • Even with a resilient economy, small business confidence is back at an all-time low, according to a CNBC|SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey.
  • Credit card spending has propped up the economy but is showing signs of slowing, as consumers feel the pinch of higher rates.

Housing News

  • July home sales fell again as supply dropped to a 25-year low. The number of homes for sale at month’s end was 14.6% lower year over year.
  • Inventory woes are sending more buyers to new construction. New home sales hit a 17-month high in July, up 31.5% over last year.
  • Home prices continue to move higher. The median price of a home sold in July was $406,700, an increase of 1.9% from a year ago. 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • Retail sales came in stronger than expected in July for the biggest gain in 6 months. Consumers continued to spend despite higher rates.
  • Wholesale prices rose more than expected in July. The increase countered recent signs of easing inflation pressures.
  • Minutes from last month's Fed meeting hinted at more rate hikes to come, as officials remained concerned about the pace of inflation.

Housing News

  • Housing starts for single-family homes surged in July. Permits for future construction also rose, despite climbing mortgage rates.
  • However, rate increases caused home builder sentiment to fall in August for the 1st time in 7 months, reaching the lowest level since May.
  • Apps to purchase newly constructed homes were up 36% annually in July. New homes accounted for a larger share of sales due to tight inventory. 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • June's Consumer Price Index shows inflation rose only 3.2% from a year ago, possibly deterring the Fed from raising policy rates in September.
  • Jobless claims rose last week to the highest levels in a month, coming in higher than expected and signaling some softening to the labor market.
  • Many experts are backing off their predictions of a looming recession, with the latest economic data pointing to a possible soft landing.

Housing News

  • Available home insurance policies have dropped 53% this year. Companies are exiting states where they can't raise premiums to cover rising costs.
  • According to Fannie Mae, consumers are gaining confidence in their personal financial situations but are still pessimistic about buying a home.
  • Mortgage rates rose last week before falling again, leading to a 3% drop in purchase apps. It was the 3rd consecutive weekly decline. 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • ADP reports the private sector added 324K jobs in July, landing well above expectations and signaling labor market strength.
  • Manufacturing stabilized in July with a gradual improvement in new orders, though factory employment dropped to a 3-year low.
  • Job openings hit their lowest level since April 2021 in June, while layoffs nudged downward, suggesting a softening but resilient labor market.

Housing News

  • Construction spending increased solidly in June, boosted by outlays in both single- and multi-family housing projects.
  • Foreign buyers bought 14% fewer homes in the U.S. in the past year, the least since tracking started but at the highest median price of $396,400.
  • Redfin reports a first-time homebuyer would need to earn $64,500/year to afford the typical starter home, which sold for $243K in June. 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Consumer confidence hit a 2-year high in July, as inflationary pressures eased and the economy continued to show resilience.
  • The Fed raised its policy rate this week to a 22-year high, as expected. Fed actions do not directly impact mortgage rates.
  • The economy picked up unexpectedly in the 2nd quarter, steering clear of a recession despite Fed rate hikes.
 

Housing News

  • The FHFA reported a 2.8% year-over-year home price increase in May. This was the 4th straight month of gains despite a jump in mortgage rates.
  • New home sales fell in June after 3 months of increases. The drop was attributed to tight inventory rather than lack of buyer demand.
  • Pending home sales rose in June for the first time since February, suggesting the housing market is recovering from recent declines. 
 

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


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