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  • Consumer confidence reached its highest level since December 2021 and was up more than 30% since its April 2020 low. 
  • Job openings rose to a 3-month high in December. The continuing demand for workers demonstrates labor market strength.
  • The Fed left policy rates unchanged at this week's FOMC meeting but signaled a willingness to cut rates as data confirms inflation is cooling.

Housing News

  • A Harvard study showed rent costs have fallen from prior record highs and are now rising at a significantly slower pace of less than 1% annually. 
  • The FHFA’s House Price Index reports growth in November at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.3% for the month and 6.6% year over year.
  • After rising for several weeks, total mortgage application volume dropped 7.2% for the week. Purchase apps fell 11%, while refi apps increased 2%.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • The economy grew faster than expected in the 4th quarter, fueled by strong consumer spending and defying predictions of a recession in 2023. 
  • Initial jobless claims rose 25K last week to 214K. Although that is the highest level in a month, it still signals a strong labor market.
  • Orders for durable goods, or products made to last at least 3 years, were unchanged in December. Economists had expected a slight increase.

Housing News

  • New home sales surged 8% in December and were up 4% in 2023, even as higher mortgage rates and limited supply pressured the housing market. 
  • Affordability improved in December according to the MBA. Borrowers applied for mortgages with payments 3.8% lower than in November.
  • Redfin reports pending home sales fell 8% year over year in December. The biggest decline in 4 months was partly due to winter weather.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Retail sales rose at the strongest pace in 3 months in December, topping expectations for holiday shopping and signaling a resilient economy. 
  • The Fed’s latest Beige Book snapshot of the economy reported little or no change in economic activity for December through early January.
  • The labor market continues to show resiliency. Last week's jobless claims posted an unexpected drop to the lowest levels since September 2022.

Housing News

  • Homebuilder sentiment improved for the 2nd straight month in January and is now at the highest level since September. 
  • Housing starts fell sharply in December, the first drop in 4 months. Permits for future construction were up though, increasing 1.7%.
  • Mortgage applications started the year off strong as rates dropped. Overall apps were up 10.4%, with purchase apps rising 9% for the week.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


  • Consumer inflation came in slightly higher than expected, led by housing costs. However, the pace of core inflation slowed a little. 
  • Jobless claims dropped to 202K last week, coming in less than expected at the lowest level since October.
  • Markets continue to price in the likelihood of a March Fed rate cut, despite Fed officials’ signals they will hold rates longer.

Housing News

  • A recent Fannie Mae survey showed more consumers think it is a good time to buy a home. More also expect rates to fall in 2024. 
  • Altos Research reports there are currently 499K unsold single-family homes on the market, 6% more than this time last year.
  • Mortgage apps increased 9.9% for the week on a seasonally adjusted basis, with refi apps up 19% and purchase apps 6% higher.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News


  • Minutes from the Fed's last meeting suggest the policy rate could remain higher "for some time" until inflation moves lower. 
  • Demand for workers fell to its lowest level in more than 2½ years in November, while hiring and layoffs both slowed.
  • Manufacturing contracted in December. The pace of decline slowed amid a modest rebound in production and improvement in factory employment.

Housing News

  • As mortgage rates fell to end the year, refi apps were 15% higher than the same week a year ago. Purchase apps were down 12% year over year. 
  • Homeowners insurance premiums are up about 35% from 2 years ago, Policygenius says. Insurers continue to leave disaster-prone states.
  • Realtrends reports more than half of agents are optimistic about the 1st quarter housing market. Most expect sales to increase more than 5%.

Market Minute Report - Mortgage News

 


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